Wednesday, September 17, 2008

SCOOPS' AWARD WINNING FOOTBALL PICKS (WEEK 4)

An odd week last week. I must give credit to Kirk Ferentz for taking the safety, thus covering the 13.5 spread for Iowa State. And my original instinct was right with thinking Purdue would cover against Oregon. Meanwhile, Ohio State moved to 0-2 against the spread while Penn State’s train keeps rolling.

Also, in a tribute to former Air Force coach Fisher DeBerry, I will consistently refer to fast football players as “Fast Afro-American’s.” Please don’t take offense to this, as I’m sure there are many fast Caucasians.

Last Week: 6-4
Season: 20-11
Net Gain/Loss: + $105.00

PENN STATE (-28) over Temple: Temple lost a hearbreaker last week on a hail marry against Buffalo, while Penn State gave Syracuse another kick in the groin. Penn State’s train keeps on rolling as they are on a BCS mission to destroy everything & anything in their path.
SCOOPS’ PICK: PENN STATE 51, TEMPLE 16
Ohio (+10.5) over NORTHWESTERN: The ‘Cats are 3-0, and the win over Duke on the road may seem not as bad as it does on paper. I think Northwestern runs their record to 4-0 to head into Big Ten play, but I see Solich being able to keep it within a touchdown.
SCOOPS’ PICK: NORTHWESTERN 27, OHIO 20

Mississippi State (+9) over GEORGIA TECH: Really? Could this be, as Admiral Ackbar said, “A trap?” I guess I’m just going with conference to conference. The SEC > ACC. Mississippi State lost a tough one to Auburn last week 3-2 (no misprint) while Georgia Tech dropped their first game of the year to Virginia Tech. I just think 9 points seems like a lot to a team that almost beat Auburn.
SCOOPS’ PICK: GEORGIA TECH 20, MISSISSIPPI STATE 13

Louisiana State (-2.5) over AUBURN: SEC season gets into full swing and this one should be a good one. LSU has romped over their competition, while Auburn is a bit more battle tested with their win over the Bulldogs (Mississippi State, not Georgia). Expect a big play from Holliday, who may be the fastest Afro-American I’ve ever seen on a football field, which should give the Tigers (LSU) the edge over the Tigers (Auburn).
SCOOPS’ PICK: LSU 20, AUBURN 17

[Tangent time: What a bunch of idiots! This conference has not only 2 teams that share the same nickname (LSU & Auburn), but another 2 that share the same nickname (Georgia & Mississippi State) ]

Iowa (+100) over PITTSBURGH: The spread is –1 for Pitt, so why not just take the straight money line on Iowa, so if I lose, it’s a $10 loss instead of an $11 loss with the same payout for the win? All I can go off of is that Pitt lost to Bowling Green, which got stomped by Minnesota and lost by 13 last week at Boise State. I think Iowa & Minnesota are kind of similar right now, so therefore, Minnesota=Iowa>Bowling Green>Pittsburgh. Make sense?
SCOOPS’ PICK: IOWA 24, PITTSBURGH 21

MICHIGAN STATE (-8.5) over Notre Dame: Javon Ringer pounded the ball over & over again last week against Florida Atlantic, and Notre Dame won because Michigan decided to treat the football like it was a can of Keystone Light at a Frat party. Notre Dame gets exposed this week by a more talented team.
SCOOPS’ PICK: MICHIGAN STATE 38, NOTRE DAME 20

OREGON (-10.5) over Boise State: Oregon snuck out of West Laugh-at-it with a hard fought double OT win courtesy of the inability of a D-I kicker to hit a field goal. Look for Oregon to get back on track offensively at home this week and take care of the Broncos. [Tangent time: The Fiesta Bowl win over Oklahoma in 2007 was the best & worst thing for Boise State. Best in that they let everyone know that a non-BCS team can take down a real BCS team (I don’t count Utah’s win over Pitt in the 2005 Fiesta Bowl). But it was the worst thing in that everyone is going to take them seriously now forever and they can’t sneak up on anyone anymore. Oregon will be ready)
SCOOPS’ PICK: OREGON 45, BOISE STATE 20

INDIANA (-3) over Ball State: I don’t think Indiana was thinking that this was going to be a difficult game for them when they put Ball State on the schedule years ago, but that’s what it’s shaping up to be. Look for great QB play on both sides, and Indiana’s offense to do just a little bit more.
SCOOPS’ PICK: INDIANA 38, BALL STATE 34

PURDUE (-10) over Central Michigan: This will mark the 3rd time these two teams have played in the past 12 months. Central Michigan almost took down the Boilermakers in the Motor City Bowl last year. And can Purdue bounce back after the heartbreak of last week? I liked what I saw from Painter against Oregon, and their passing game will continue. As impressed was I of Purdue’s defense on Oregon, which should be able to keep LeFevour in check enough.
SCOOPS’ PICK: PURDUE 42, CENTRAL MICHIGAN 27

Miami (-3.5) over TEXAS A&M: Miami’s youngsters grew up quite a bit in their game at Gainsville two weeks ago. And with Stephen McGee out of Saturday’s game, Texas A&M would be best off hitting the same strip club that the West Cannan Coyotes hit during their all night bender.
SCOOPS’ PICK: MIAMI 21, TEXAS A&M 13
MISSOURI (-34.5) over Buffalo: The Chase Daniel circus continued last week to the tune of 60+ points. Here’s the best stat for you. Over his past two games, Daniel has more TD passes (7) than incomplete passes (6). That is freaking ridiculous. As Col. Trautman spoke of John J. Rambo, the same can be said for Chase Daniel. He's a man who's the best!
SCOOPS’ PICK: MISSOURI 58, BUFFALO 14
TENNESSEE (+7) over Florida: I just think 7 points seems like a lot of points. And the bottom line is Urban Meyer’s sophisticated offense isn’t anything more than Tebow jamming himself straight up the middle or giving the ball to another fast Afro-America in Percy Harvin. With the game in Knoxville, I think Fulmer is able to round up the troops & keep it close.
SCOOPS’ PICK: FLORIDA 28, TENNESSEE 24

Georgia (-7) over ARIZONA STATE: The Dawgs were able to claw themselves a hard fought 7 point win at Columbia last week, while the Sun Devils did what they do best, and that’s underachieve and lose to a lesser team in UNLV. Georgia’s offense isn’t clicking right now and they have Fat Stafford on a leash right now. But I think they find a way to get it done, because like we all know, ASU doesn’t win big games unless Jake Plummer is their QB (and even then, they still lose a national title in heartbreaking fashion).
SCOOPS’ PICK: GEORGIA 27, ARIZONA STATE 17

Florida Atlantic (+7) over MINNESOTA: Crazy stat for you about the Owls. They haven’t allowed a sack yet, and they’ve played Texas and Michigan State already. So you think Minnesota is going to get to the QB? Highly unlikely. Minnesota looks like they may have found a RB in DeLeon Eskridge, who punched in 3 TD's last weekend against Montana State. Look for points to be the order of the day at the dome. However, the difference is Minnesota is not turning the ball over, and last year, they turned it over 7 times against Florida Atlantic! As long as that number is kept at 1 or 2, Minnesota should be able to make enough plays to win, but the cover is something I don’t see.
SCOOPS’ PICK: MINNESOTA 38, FLORIDA ATLANTIC 34

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